Language:English
Las Palmas v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.29%48.44%48.29%50.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.912.0257.14%52.27%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 23.30%4.29fair odd
EV +3.22%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +0.939%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 4.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%23.20%23.37%25.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.893.804.4328.99%25.74%26.32%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV -0.173%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.01%28.36%28.34%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.233.5233.33%31.16%30.96%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 48.34%; Burgos CF (Visit): 23.30%; Draw: 28.36%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.64%EV -3.80%E -1.91%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.85%EV +3.22%E +0.727%K +0.939%G +0.030% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -6.98%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +0.193%E +0.045%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 16:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.42%EV -1.21%E -0.284%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.01%EV -0.173%E -0.049%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -11.52%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 16:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.75%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -4.29%E -2.17%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 16:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 16:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.02%E -6.61%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.01%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -14.25%E -3.87%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -8.68%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 16:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -14.95%E -4.10%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -17.28%E -4.87%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.29%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -17.28%E -4.87%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.44%EV -15.41%E -8.80%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.45%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -19.61%E -5.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-20 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |