L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Las Palmas v Burgos CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 16:31 UTC

Score final : Las Palmas 1–2 Burgos CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Las Palmas (Local)

Prévision 48.34%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.29%48.44%48.29%50.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.911.912.0257.14%52.27%52.36%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Burgos CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.30%4.29cote équitable
EV +3.22%
Avantage +0.727%
Kelly +0.939%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%23.20%23.37%25.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.893.804.4328.99%25.74%26.32%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.36%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.173%
Avantage -0.049%
Kelly -0.069%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.01%28.36%28.34%29.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.233.5233.33%31.16%30.96%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Las Palmas (Local) : 48.34% ; Burgos CF (Visiteur) : 23.30% ; Match nul : 28.36%. Pour Burgos CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.29. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.43, soit une espérance positive de +3.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.64%EV -3.80%E -1.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.85%EV +3.22%E +0.727%K +0.939%G +0.030%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -6.98%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +0.193%E +0.045%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 16:23
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:29
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.42%EV -1.21%E -0.284%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.01%EV -0.173%E -0.049%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 16:04
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -11.52%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:01
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.75%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -4.29%E -2.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 16:04
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:29
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:24
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:28
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:29
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.02%E -6.61%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.01%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -14.25%E -3.87%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -8.68%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -14.95%E -4.10%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 16:04
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:39
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:40
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -17.28%E -4.87%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.29%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -17.28%E -4.87%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.44%EV -15.41%E -8.80%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-20 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.45%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -19.61%E -5.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-20 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-20 16:30
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-09-20 16:04
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-09-20 16:04