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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Las Palmas v Burgos CF

Inizio: 2026-09-20 16:31 UTC

Finale: Las Palmas 1–2 Burgos CF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Las Palmas (Casa)

Previsione 48.34%2.07quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.29%48.44%48.29%50.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.911.912.0257.14%52.27%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Burgos CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.30%4.29quota equa
EV +3.22%
Vantaggio +0.727%
Kelly +0.939%
Crescita +0.030%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.92%23.20%23.37%25.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.893.804.4328.99%25.74%26.32%22.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.36%3.53quota equa
EV -0.173%
Vantaggio -0.049%
Kelly -0.069%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.01%28.36%28.34%29.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.233.5233.33%31.16%30.96%28.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Las Palmas (Casa): 48.34%; Burgos CF (Trasferta): 23.30%; Pareggio: 28.36%. Per Burgos CF (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.29. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.43, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.22%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.64%EV -3.80%E -1.91%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.85%EV +3.22%E +0.727%K +0.939%G +0.030%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -6.98%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +2.52%E +0.573%K +0.742%G +0.019%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +0.193%E +0.045%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 16:23
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:29
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.42%EV -1.21%E -0.284%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.01%EV -0.173%E -0.049%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 16:04
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.14%E -0.509%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -11.52%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:01
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.75%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -4.29%E -2.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 16:04
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:29
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:24
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:28
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.25%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:29
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.02%E -6.61%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.62%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.01%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -14.25%E -3.87%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -8.68%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -14.95%E -4.10%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 16:04
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:39
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:40
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.12%E -4.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -17.28%E -4.87%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.29%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -17.28%E -4.87%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.44%EV -15.41%E -8.80%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -18.45%E -5.27%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-20 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.45%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -19.61%E -5.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -14.92%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-20 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-20 16:30
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-09-20 16:04
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-09-20 16:04