Language:English
Granada CF v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Granada CF (Local)
Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.668%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.15%26.25%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 43.95%2.28fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.162%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.29%43.99%43.92%45.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.132.132.2851.55%46.88%46.95%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.87%3.35fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%29.86%29.83%31.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.2535.71%33.11%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 26.18%; Burgos CF (Visit): 43.95%; Draw: 29.87%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.275. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.280, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.208%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.65%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -6.80%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -2.10%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -3.21%E -0.991%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.91%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -14.93%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.50%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -16.36%E -5.84%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -7.26%E -3.44%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.84%E -0.490%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.19%EV -8.14%E -3.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.19%EV -8.14%E -3.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.77%EV -11.52%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.90%EV -14.74%E -7.60%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.33%EV -11.28%E -3.80%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |