La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Granada CF v Burgos CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Granada CF (Local)
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.668%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.15%26.25%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burgos CF (Visitante)
Predicción 43.95%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.208%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.29%43.99%43.92%45.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.132.132.2851.55%46.88%46.95%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.87%3.35momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.896%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.84%29.86%29.83%31.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.003.2535.71%33.11%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.65%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -6.80%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -2.10%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -3.21%E -0.991%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.91%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -14.93%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.50%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -16.36%E -5.84%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -7.26%E -3.44%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.84%E -0.490%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.19%EV -8.14%E -3.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| BetAnything | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.19%EV -8.14%E -3.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.77%EV -11.52%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.90%EV -14.74%E -7.60%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.33%EV -11.28%E -3.80%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |