L’École des cotesFrançais
Granada CF v Burgos CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Granada CF (Local)
Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -0.668%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.15%26.25%27.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Burgos CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.95%2.28cote équitable
EV +0.208%
Avantage +0.091%
Kelly +0.162%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.29%43.99%43.92%45.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.132.132.2851.55%46.88%46.95%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.87%3.35cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.896%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.84%29.86%29.83%31.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.023.003.2535.71%33.11%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.65%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -6.80%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -2.10%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -3.21%E -0.991%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.91%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -14.93%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.50%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -16.36%E -5.84%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -7.26%E -3.44%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.84%E -0.490%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.19%EV -8.14%E -3.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| BetAnything | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.19%EV -8.14%E -3.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.39%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.31%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.77%EV -11.52%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.90%EV -14.74%E -7.60%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.33%EV -11.28%E -3.80%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |