Language:English
Granada CF v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Granada CF (Local)
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV -0.529%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%31.45%31.61%33.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.842.803.1538.02%35.21%35.71%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.10%38.61%38.64%40.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.402.402.5147.62%41.74%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.85%3.35fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.648%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.95%29.75%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.083.103.3035.09%32.42%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 31.58%; Almería (Visit): 38.57%; Draw: 29.85%. For Granada CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.529%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -0.529%E -0.168%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -3.19%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.11%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.11%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.22%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.12%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.12%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.86%EV -5.89%E -2.41%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -4.63%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.27%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -9.25%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.11%EV -10.95%E -3.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.34%EV -13.99%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.54%EV -11.34%E -3.82%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 02:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 17:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-24 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.59%E -3.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.59%E -3.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -15.15%E -6.88%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.22%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -12.45%E -5.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -1.49%E -0.452%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 01:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -6.27%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.05%EV -15.15%E -6.88%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -16.95%E -6.44%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -16.95%E -6.44%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -19.00%E -9.05%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -14.03%E -4.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-24 01:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |