La escuela de los momios

Granada CF v Almería

Inicio: 2026-04-26 14:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Granada CF (Local)

Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV -0.529%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.246%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%31.45%31.61%33.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.842.803.1538.02%35.21%35.71%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Almería (Visitante)

Predicción 38.57%2.59momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.10%38.61%38.64%40.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.402.402.5147.62%41.74%41.67%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.85%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.452%
Kelly -0.648%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.95%29.75%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.083.103.3035.09%32.42%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -0.529%E -0.168%K -0.246%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -3.19%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 22:45
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.11%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.11%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.22%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:35
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.12%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.12%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:54
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.86%EV -5.89%E -2.41%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:43
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -4.63%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.27%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -9.25%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:39
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 14:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 14:25
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 12:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:45
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:45
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:45
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:59
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 19:40
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.11%EV -10.95%E -3.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.34%EV -13.99%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.54%EV -11.34%E -3.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:48
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 17:03
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 01:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 19:40
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.59%E -3.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:40
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.59%E -3.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:40
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 02:15
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -15.15%E -6.88%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 16:15
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.22%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 13:04
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -12.45%E -5.48%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -1.49%E -0.452%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 01:54
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -6.27%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 12:24
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.05%EV -15.15%E -6.88%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-24 02:14
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -16.95%E -6.44%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -16.95%E -6.44%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -19.00%E -9.05%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -14.03%E -4.87%K -7.46%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-24 01:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-23 21:10
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-04-24 00:50
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%5.3%2026-04-24 03:25