L’École des cotes

Granada CF v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 14:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Granada CF (Local)

Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV -0.529%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.246%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.61%31.45%31.61%33.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.842.803.1538.02%35.21%35.71%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.57%2.59cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.10%38.61%38.64%40.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.402.402.5147.62%41.74%41.67%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.85%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -0.648%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%29.95%29.75%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.083.103.3035.09%32.42%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -0.529%E -0.168%K -0.246%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -3.19%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 22:45
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.11%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.35%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.11%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.22%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:35
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.12%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.12%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:54
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.86%EV -5.89%E -2.41%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:43
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -4.63%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.27%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -9.25%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:39
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 14:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 14:25
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 12:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:45
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:45
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:45
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:45
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:59
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 19:40
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.11%EV -10.95%E -3.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.34%EV -13.99%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.54%EV -11.34%E -3.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:24
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:48
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 17:03
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 01:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 19:40
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.59%E -3.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:40
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.59%E -3.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:40
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 02:15
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -15.15%E -6.88%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 16:15
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.22%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 13:04
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -12.45%E -5.48%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -1.49%E -0.452%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 01:54
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -6.27%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 12:24
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.05%EV -15.15%E -6.88%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-24 02:14
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -16.95%E -6.44%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -16.95%E -6.44%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -19.00%E -9.05%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -14.03%E -4.87%K -7.46%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-24 01:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-23 21:10
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-04-24 00:50
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%5.3%2026-04-24 03:25