Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.06
assuming max odds 4.57
assuming max odds 3.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 50.74%; Albacete (Visit): 22.35%; Draw: 26.91%. For Granada CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV +4.53%E +2.20%K +4.27%G +0.193% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -20.65%E -5.82%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV +1.48%E +0.740%K +1.48%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -25.12%E -7.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 16:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.15%EV +2.15%E +0.470%K +0.602%G +0.013% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 16:16 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 15:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -5.62%E -3.02%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -5.62%E -3.02%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.13%E -3.31%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -6.13%E -3.31%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.21%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -2.10%E -0.479%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 16:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.16%E -4.51%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.76%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.01%EV -9.68%E -5.44%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.42%EV -21.77%E -6.22%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -16.59%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -10.70%E -6.08%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -10.70%E -6.08%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 16:11 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +0.583%E +0.130%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 15:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.25%EV -12.22%E -7.06%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -13.23%E -7.74%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 15:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 15:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 16:16 |