Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Granada CF v Albacete

Início: 2026-09-12 16:29 UTC

Final: Granada CF 1–1 Albacete

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Granada CF (Local)

Previsão 50.74%1.97odd justa
EV +4.53%
Vantagem +2.20%
Kelly +4.27%
Crescimento +0.193%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.20%50.74%50.76%52.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.831.832.0658.48%54.53%54.64%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Albacete (Visitante)

Previsão 22.35%4.47odd justa
EV +2.15%
Vantagem +0.470%
Kelly +0.602%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.43%22.39%22.33%26.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.994.004.5729.85%25.08%25.00%21.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.91%3.72odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -0.565%
Kelly -0.779%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.93%26.88%26.91%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.403.6432.26%29.66%29.41%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Granada CF (Local): 50.74%; Albacete (Visitante): 22.35%; Empate: 26.91%. Para Granada CF (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.06, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV +4.53%E +2.20%K +4.27%G +0.193%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -20.65%E -5.82%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 12:36
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV +1.48%E +0.740%K +1.48%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -25.12%E -7.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 16:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.15%EV +2.15%E +0.470%K +0.602%G +0.013%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 16:16
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:49
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 15:46
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 15:45
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 15:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -5.62%E -3.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -5.62%E -3.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.13%E -3.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -6.13%E -3.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 15:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 16:15
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.21%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -2.10%E -0.479%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.16%E -4.51%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:20
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.76%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 15:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 15:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.01%EV -9.68%E -5.44%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.42%EV -21.77%E -6.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -16.59%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-12 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -10.70%E -6.08%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -10.70%E -6.08%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +0.583%E +0.130%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:46
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.25%EV -12.22%E -7.06%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -13.23%E -7.74%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 15:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 15:56
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-12 16:01
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%3.9%2026-09-12 16:16