Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Granada CF v Albacete

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 16:29 UTC

Score final : Granada CF 1–1 Albacete

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Granada CF (Local)

Prévision 50.74%1.97cote équitable
EV +4.53%
Avantage +2.20%
Kelly +4.27%
Croissance +0.193%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.20%50.74%50.76%52.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.831.832.0658.48%54.53%54.64%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Albacete (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.35%4.47cote équitable
EV +2.15%
Avantage +0.470%
Kelly +0.602%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.43%22.39%22.33%26.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.994.004.5729.85%25.08%25.00%21.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.91%3.72cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.565%
Kelly -0.779%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%26.88%26.91%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.6432.26%29.66%29.41%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Granada CF (Local) : 50.74% ; Albacete (Visiteur) : 22.35% ; Match nul : 26.91%. Pour Granada CF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.97. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.06, soit une espérance positive de +4.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV +4.53%E +2.20%K +4.27%G +0.193%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -20.65%E -5.82%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 12:36
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV +1.48%E +0.740%K +1.48%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -25.12%E -7.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 16:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -2.07%E -1.07%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.15%EV +2.15%E +0.470%K +0.602%G +0.013%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 16:16
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:49
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 15:46
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 15:45
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.61%E -2.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -17.30%E -4.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.12%E -2.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 15:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -5.62%E -3.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -5.62%E -3.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.13%E -3.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -6.13%E -3.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -18.42%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -6.64%E -3.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 15:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 16:15
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.21%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -2.10%E -0.479%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.20%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.16%E -4.51%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:20
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.76%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 15:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 15:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -8.67%E -4.82%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.01%EV -9.68%E -5.44%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.42%EV -21.77%E -6.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -16.59%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-12 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -10.70%E -6.08%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -10.70%E -6.08%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +0.583%E +0.130%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.20%E -6.40%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:46
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.25%EV -12.22%E -7.06%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -13.90%E -4.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -13.23%E -7.74%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-12 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 15:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 15:56
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-12 16:01
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%3.9%2026-09-12 16:16