Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 2.63
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Córdoba (Local): 36.28%; Girona FC (Visit): 36.61%; Draw: 27.11%. For Córdoba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.233%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -1.32%E -0.486%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -7.01%E -2.76%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -3.48%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 18:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -4.22%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -4.22%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 18:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.58%E -3.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.58%E -3.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-21 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -9.67%E -3.88%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.96% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-08-21 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |