Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Córdoba v Girona FC

Início: 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC

Final: Córdoba 2–1 Girona FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Córdoba (Local)

Previsão 36.28%2.76odd justa
EV -0.233%
Vantagem -0.085%
Kelly -0.133%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.19%36.19%36.33%37.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.572.602.7541.67%38.84%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Girona FC (Visitante)

Previsão 36.61%2.73odd justa
EV -3.72%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.06%36.71%36.60%38.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.502.502.6341.67%39.95%40.00%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.11%3.69odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.666%
Kelly -0.922%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.15%27.10%27.07%29.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.333.353.6032.79%30.06%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Córdoba (Local): 36.28%; Girona FC (Visitante): 36.61%; Empate: 27.11%. Para Córdoba (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.76. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.75, com valor esperado de -0.233%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -1.32%E -0.486%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 18:45
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -7.01%E -2.76%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -3.48%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 18:53
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -4.22%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:55
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -4.22%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:54
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:09
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:09
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:10
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:54
Bovada🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 18:49
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 18:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 15:54
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 18:54
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:48
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:49
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.58%E -3.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:39
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.58%E -3.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:39
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 15:54
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:04
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -9.67%E -3.88%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 17:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:04
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 18:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 17:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-21 18:50