Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Córdoba v Girona FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC

Score final : Córdoba 2–1 Girona FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Córdoba (Local)

Prévision 36.28%2.76cote équitable
EV -0.233%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.133%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.19%36.19%36.33%37.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.7541.67%38.84%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Girona FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.61%2.73cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.06%36.71%36.60%38.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.502.502.6341.67%39.95%40.00%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.11%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -0.922%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.15%27.10%27.07%29.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.333.353.6032.79%30.06%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Córdoba (Local) : 36.28% ; Girona FC (Visiteur) : 36.61% ; Match nul : 27.11%. Pour Córdoba (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.76. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.75, pour une espérance de -0.233% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -0.233%E -0.085%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -1.32%E -0.486%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 18:45
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -7.01%E -2.76%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -3.48%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 18:53
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -4.22%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:55
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -4.22%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:54
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:09
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:09
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:10
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -9.21%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:54
Bovada🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 18:49
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 18:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 15:54
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -11.04%E -4.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -17.31%E -5.68%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 18:54
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:48
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:49
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.58%E -3.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:39
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -8.58%E -3.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:39
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 15:54
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:04
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -9.67%E -3.88%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 17:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:04
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 18:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 18:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-21 18:50