Language:English
Córdoba v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Córdoba (Local)
Prediction 37.27%2.68fair odd
EV +0.247%
Edge +0.092%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.35%37.26%37.27%38.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.452.6945.45%41.03%40.82%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 35.87%2.79fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.85%35.99%35.88%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7041.67%39.12%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.75%26.85%27.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.6031.25%29.32%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Córdoba (Local): 37.27%; Almería (Visit): 35.87%; Draw: 26.86%. For Córdoba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.247%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.35%EV +0.247%E +0.092%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.85%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -8.13%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -2.36%E -0.901%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.00%EV -3.51%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.05%EV -3.83%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -12.12%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.58%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.58%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 18:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.07%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.07%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 18:11 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 18:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -3.15%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.43%EV -9.60%E -3.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 18:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.68%E -4.93%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.68%E -4.93%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -13.17%E -5.65%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -13.17%E -5.65%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -13.17%E -5.65%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -13.54%E -5.84%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -13.54%E -5.84%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.53%EV -13.54%E -5.84%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.25%EV -11.40%E -4.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.73%EV -18.01%E -8.19%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.06%EV -12.83%E -5.28%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.21%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.79% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |