The School of Odds
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Córdoba v Almería

2026-09-12 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.03%40.78%40.77%41.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.282.3847.62%43.97%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almería (Visit)

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.04%33.11%33.14%33.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.9039.22%36.93%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.11%26.09%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.453.6731.75%29.57%28.99%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Córdoba (Local): 40.78%; Almería (Visit): 33.11%; Draw: 26.11%. For Córdoba (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -2.95%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:06
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.12%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.17%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -5.40%E -2.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -12.25%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.58%EV -12.91%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.58%EV -12.91%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74%EV -8.66%E -3.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.26%EV -11.11%E -5.10%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.57%EV -15.56%E -6.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -17.75%E -5.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:06
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.11%EV -11.52%E -5.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.33%E -5.74%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.96%EV -14.37%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -15.56%E -6.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -14.37%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.