Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Córdoba v Almería

Início: 2026-09-12 19:01 UTC

Final: Córdoba 0–2 Almería

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Córdoba (Local)

Previsão 37.27%2.68odd justa
EV +0.247%
Vantagem +0.092%
Kelly +0.146%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.35%37.26%37.27%38.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.442.452.6945.45%41.03%40.82%37.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Almería (Visitante)

Previsão 35.87%2.79odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.85%35.99%35.88%37.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.562.552.7041.67%39.12%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.86%3.72odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.13%26.75%26.85%27.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.403.6031.25%29.32%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Córdoba (Local): 37.27%; Almería (Visitante): 35.87%; Empate: 26.86%. Para Córdoba (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.68. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.69, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.247%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.35%EV +0.247%E +0.092%K +0.146%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.85%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -8.13%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -2.36%E -0.901%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.00%EV -3.51%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.05%EV -3.83%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -3.11%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -12.12%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.58%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.58%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:01
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:11
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 18:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 18:15
Bovada🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.07%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 18:55
BetAnything🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.07%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 18:05
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:54
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:54
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 18:05
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 18:01
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 18:11
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 18:11
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -3.15%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:05
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.43%EV -9.60%E -3.81%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.68%E -4.93%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 18:01
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.68%E -4.93%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 18:01
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-12 19:00
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -13.17%E -5.65%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -13.17%E -5.65%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 18:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -13.17%E -5.65%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -13.54%E -5.84%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -13.54%E -5.84%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.53%EV -13.54%E -5.84%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.25%EV -11.40%E -4.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.73%EV -18.01%E -8.19%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.06%EV -12.83%E -5.28%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.21%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-12 18:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-09-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-09-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-09-12 19:00
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-09-12 18:55
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%3.0%2026-09-12 19:00
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-09-12 19:00