Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 2.28
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celta Fortuna (Local): 28.72%; Andorra CF (Visit): 43.17%; Draw: 28.12%. For Andorra CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.36%E -0.694%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -2.01%E -0.886%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 16:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.60%E -0.456%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.00%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.56%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.44%EV -10.87%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.60%E -0.456%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 16:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-24 16:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-24 16:52 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 42.93%EV -8.92%E -4.23%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.98%EV -14.10%E -7.08%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -1.58%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.00%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -1.58%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.00%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.81%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.81%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -21.03%E -7.65%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.31%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-24 16:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-08-24 15:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-24 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-24 16:55 |