Idioma:Español
Celta Fortuna v Andorra CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Celta Fortuna (Local)
Predicción 28.72%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -0.983%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.72%28.70%31.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.133.153.4036.36%31.96%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Andorra CF (Visitante)
Predicción 43.17%2.32momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.693%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.31%43.18%43.22%44.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.992.142.152.2850.25%46.69%46.51%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.638%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%28.10%28.07%29.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.253.253.5032.26%30.77%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Celta Fortuna (Local): 28.72%; Andorra CF (Visitante): 43.17%; Empate: 28.12%. Para Andorra CF (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.32. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.28, con un valor esperado de -1.58%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.36%E -0.694%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -2.01%E -0.886%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 16:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.60%E -0.456%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.00%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.56%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.44%EV -10.87%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.60%E -0.456%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 16:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-24 16:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-24 16:52 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 42.93%EV -8.92%E -4.23%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.98%EV -14.10%E -7.08%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-24 16:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -1.58%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.00%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -1.58%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.00%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.81%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.81%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -21.03%E -7.65%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.31%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-24 16:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 16:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-08-24 15:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-24 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-24 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-24 16:55 |