Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celta Fortuna v Andorra CF

Início: 2026-08-24 17:00 UTC

Final: Celta Fortuna 4–2 Andorra CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celta Fortuna (Local)

Previsão 28.72%3.48odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.694%
Kelly -0.983%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.11%28.72%28.70%31.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.133.153.4036.36%31.96%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Andorra CF (Visitante)

Previsão 43.17%2.32odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.693%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.31%43.18%43.22%44.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.992.142.152.2850.25%46.69%46.51%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.12%3.56odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.456%
Kelly -0.638%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.87%28.10%28.07%29.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.253.253.5032.26%30.77%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Celta Fortuna (Local): 28.72%; Andorra CF (Visitante): 43.17%; Empate: 28.12%. Para Andorra CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.28, com valor esperado de -1.58%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.36%E -0.694%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 16:44
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -2.01%E -0.886%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 16:49
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 16:54
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 16:48
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.60%E -0.456%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 16:54
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 16:49
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 16:55
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:54
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 16:49
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:44
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.00%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.56%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.44%EV -10.87%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-24 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.60%E -0.456%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 16:53
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 16:52
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 16:52
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.93%EV -8.92%E -4.23%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:44
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.49%E -4.00%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.98%EV -14.10%E -7.08%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-24 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 16:44
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 16:54
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 16:44
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:39
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:39
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -1.58%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.00%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -1.58%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.00%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 16:34
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.81%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.81%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 16:49
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 16:49
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 16:49
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -15.28%E -5.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -17.29%E -6.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -21.03%E -7.65%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.31%EV -10.64%E -5.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-24 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-24 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-24 16:44
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-08-24 15:14
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-08-24 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-08-24 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-08-24 16:55