Language:English
CD Mirandés v AD Ceuta FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Mirandés (Local)
Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.610%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.68%40.54%40.67%41.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.292.302.4348.78%43.74%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.93%3.46fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.836%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.16%28.86%28.95%32.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.083.5635.71%32.33%32.52%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.53%3.28fair odd
EV -0.772%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.343%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%30.60%30.38%32.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.033.003.2538.02%33.06%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Mirandés (Local): 40.54%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 28.93%; Draw: 30.53%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV +2.97%E +0.836%K +1.16%G +0.035% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 15:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.72%EV -7.97%E -3.51%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.56%E -3.32%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -2.81%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -9.32%E -3.14%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 12:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.50%EV -12.37%E -4.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 02:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 14:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.99%EV -7.97%E -3.51%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.98%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.89%EV -16.89%E -8.24%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -19.09%E -7.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -4.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.32%E -3.14%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.00%EV -13.24%E -6.19%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.67%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.67%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.86%E -7.08%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -16.69%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -19.70%E -7.49%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -5.94%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -5.94%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |