La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CD Mirandés v AD Ceuta FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Mirandés (Local)
Predicción 40.54%2.47momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.610%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.68%40.54%40.67%41.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.292.302.4348.78%43.74%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Predicción 28.93%3.46momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.836%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%28.86%28.95%32.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.083.5635.71%32.33%32.52%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.53%3.28momio equitativo
EV -0.772%
Ventaja -0.237%
Kelly -0.343%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.84%30.60%30.38%32.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.033.003.2538.02%33.06%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV +2.97%E +0.836%K +1.16%G +0.035% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 15:03 |
| Bovada | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.72%EV -7.97%E -3.51%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.56%E -3.32%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -2.81%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -9.32%E -3.14%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.50%EV -12.37%E -4.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 02:29 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 14:30 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 02:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 14:48 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.99%EV -7.97%E -3.51%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.98%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.89%EV -16.89%E -8.24%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -19.09%E -7.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -4.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.32%E -3.14%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.00%EV -13.24%E -6.19%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.67%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.67%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.86%E -7.08%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -16.69%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -19.70%E -7.49%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -5.94%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -5.94%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |