默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CD Mirandés v AD Ceuta FC

开赛时间: 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CD Mirandés (主队)

预测 40.54%2.47公平赔率
EV -1.48%
优势 -0.610%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布
38.68%40.54%40.67%41.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.292.302.4348.78%43.74%43.48%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

AD Ceuta FC (客队)

预测 28.93%3.46公平赔率
EV +2.97%
优势 +0.836%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.035%

假设最高赔率为 3.56

博彩公司预测分布
27.16%28.86%28.95%32.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.093.083.5635.71%32.33%32.52%28.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.53%3.28公平赔率
EV -0.772%
优势 -0.237%
Kelly -0.343%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.84%30.60%30.38%32.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.633.033.003.2538.02%33.06%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:CD Mirandés (主队):40.54%;AD Ceuta FC (客队):28.93%;平局:30.53%。 对于“AD Ceuta FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.46。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.56,对应+2.97%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV +2.97%E +0.836%K +1.16%G +0.035%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 14:00
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -5.13%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV +1.24%E +0.354%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 14:00
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 15:04
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:03
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.72%EV -7.97%E -3.51%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.56%E -3.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -2.81%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -9.32%E -3.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:04
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 14:34
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 12:29
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.50%EV -12.37%E -4.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 15:04
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 14:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 02:29
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 14:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 15:04
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 02:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 14:49
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 14:48
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.88%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 14:49
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.07%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.99%EV -7.97%E -3.51%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.98%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 14:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.89%EV -16.89%E -8.24%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -19.09%E -7.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-01 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -4.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.32%E -3.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.75%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.00%EV -13.24%E -6.19%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.93%E -3.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.67%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-01 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.67%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.46%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-01 14:49
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -1.48%E -0.610%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -0.772%E -0.237%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 14:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 14:49
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.12%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.86%E -7.08%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -16.69%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -19.70%E -7.49%K -12.09%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-01 14:34
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 14:49
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 14:49
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 14:49
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.30%E -0.718%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 14:34
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -5.94%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -5.94%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -19.01%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.35%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 14:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-03-01 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-03-01 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-03-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-03-01 15:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-03-01 14:54