Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Eldense v Cádiz CF

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 19:30 UTC

Final: CD Eldense 2–2 Cádiz CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Eldense (Local)

Prediction 43.08%2.32fair odd
EV -0.916%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.704%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.61%43.11%43.06%44.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.47%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visit)

Prediction 27.35%3.66fair odd
EV +0.390%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%27.30%27.31%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.283.303.6735.09%30.48%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.50%29.59%29.63%30.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.34%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Eldense (Local): 43.08%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 27.35%; Draw: 29.57%. For Cádiz CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.390%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.39%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.37%EV +0.390%E +0.106%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:19
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.60%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -2.07%E -0.579%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.61%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.39%E -5.00%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -7.81%E -3.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -7.81%E -3.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 19:14
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 19:19
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.53%EV -10.82%E -5.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.74%EV -7.82%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.74%EV -10.42%E -3.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 19:19
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:14
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 18:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -13.84%E -6.92%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-22 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -0.916%E -0.398%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -0.916%E -0.398%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -22.04%E -7.73%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.36%-1.1%2026-08-22 19:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-08-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-08-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-08-22 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-08-22 19:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-22 19:15