Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CD Eldense v Cádiz CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 19:30 UTC

Score final : CD Eldense 2–2 Cádiz CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CD Eldense (Local)

Prévision 43.08%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.916%
Avantage -0.398%
Kelly -0.704%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.61%43.11%43.06%44.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.47%46.51%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.35%3.66cote équitable
EV +0.390%
Avantage +0.106%
Kelly +0.146%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.80%27.30%27.31%30.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.283.303.6735.09%30.48%30.30%27.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.57%3.38cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.50%29.59%29.63%30.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.34%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CD Eldense (Local) : 43.08% ; Cádiz CF (Visiteur) : 27.35% ; Match nul : 29.57%. Pour Cádiz CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.66. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.67, soit une espérance positive de +0.390%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.39%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.37%EV +0.390%E +0.106%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:19
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.60%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -2.07%E -0.579%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.61%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.39%E -5.00%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -7.81%E -3.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -7.81%E -3.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 19:14
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 19:19
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.53%EV -10.82%E -5.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.74%EV -7.82%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.74%EV -10.42%E -3.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 19:19
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:14
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 18:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -13.84%E -6.92%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-22 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -0.916%E -0.398%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -0.916%E -0.398%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -22.04%E -7.73%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.36%-1.1%2026-08-22 19:25
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-08-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-08-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-08-22 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-08-22 19:15
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-22 19:15