Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CD Eldense v Cádiz CF

Início: 2026-08-22 19:30 UTC

Final: CD Eldense 2–2 Cádiz CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CD Eldense (Local)

Previsão 43.08%2.32odd justa
EV -0.916%
Vantagem -0.398%
Kelly -0.704%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.61%43.11%43.06%44.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.47%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cádiz CF (Visitante)

Previsão 27.35%3.66odd justa
EV +0.390%
Vantagem +0.106%
Kelly +0.146%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.80%27.30%27.31%30.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.283.303.6735.09%30.48%30.30%27.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.57%3.38odd justa
EV -3.91%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.50%29.59%29.63%30.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.34%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: CD Eldense (Local): 43.08%; Cádiz CF (Visitante): 27.35%; Empate: 29.57%. Para Cádiz CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.66. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.67, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.390%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.39%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.37%EV +0.390%E +0.106%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:19
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.60%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -2.07%E -0.579%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.61%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.39%E -5.00%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -7.81%E -3.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -7.81%E -3.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 19:14
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 19:19
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.53%EV -10.82%E -5.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.74%EV -7.82%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.74%EV -10.42%E -3.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 19:19
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -8.67%E -4.09%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:14
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 18:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -13.84%E -6.92%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-22 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -0.916%E -0.398%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -0.916%E -0.398%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -16.57%E -5.43%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 19:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -6.09%E -2.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -19.31%E -6.54%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -22.04%E -7.73%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.36%-1.1%2026-08-22 19:25
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-08-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-08-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-08-22 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-08-22 19:15
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-22 19:15