Language:English
CD Castellón v Tenerife
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Castellón (Local)
Prediction 64.60%1.55fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.89%64.61%64.59%65.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.441.431.5175.19%69.53%69.93%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tenerife (Visit)
Prediction 13.28%7.53fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.223%
Kelly +0.257%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 7.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.15%13.30%13.29%15.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.606.607.6618.52%15.15%15.15%13.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.12%4.52fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -0.923%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.20%22.10%22.12%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.064.104.3427.03%24.61%24.39%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 64.60%; Tenerife (Visit): 13.28%; Draw: 22.12%. For Tenerife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 7.66I 13.05%NM 12.59%EV +1.71%E +0.223%K +0.257%G +0.004% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV -4.01%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.03%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -8.91%E -6.32%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 16:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 16:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.00%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.43%EV -12.14%E -8.93%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.37%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 13.94%EV -9.44%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -7.32%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%EV -8.21%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%EV -8.21%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-19 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.02%EV -11.49%E -8.39%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-19 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.09%EV -10.20%E -7.34%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -15.02%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -10.42%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -17.01%E -2.72%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 63.81%EV -14.08%E -10.58%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.14%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.04%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-09-19 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.14%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -25.64%E -4.58%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -6.32%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -28.30%E -5.24%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -18.16%E -4.91%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-19 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-19 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-19 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.65% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.17% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-09-19 16:20 |