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CD Castellón v Tenerife

2026-09-19 16:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Castellón (Local)

Prediction 57.73%1.73fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -7.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%57.73%57.73%58.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6567.57%64.00%64.10%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tenerife (Visit)

Prediction 18.08%5.53fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.70%18.08%18.08%19.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.025.005.3922.22%19.92%20.00%18.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.18%4.14fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%24.18%24.18%24.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.763.754.0028.17%26.58%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CD Castellón (Local): 57.73%; Tenerife (Visit): 18.08%; Draw: 24.18%. For Tenerife (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.39, with an expected value of -2.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.19%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.81%EV -2.53%E -0.469%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.27%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -4.16%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -4.16%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -4.16%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -4.16%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:15
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -4.16%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.68%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.78%E -5.56%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.78%E -5.56%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 17:15
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -10.51%E -6.78%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -11.09%E -7.20%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.52%E -2.84%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.70%EV -12.25%E -8.06%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.61%EV -12.25%E -8.06%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -16.81%E -3.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -9.31%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.33%EV -13.40%E -8.93%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.11%EV -18.62%E -4.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -11.73%E -3.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-12 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.47%EV -13.98%E -9.38%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.41%EV -15.91%E -3.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.12%EV -14.15%E -3.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.85%EV -14.56%E -9.83%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.03%EV -14.10%E -2.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.12%EV -14.15%E -3.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.