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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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CD Castellón v Tenerife

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 16:32 UTC

最终结果： CD Castellón 5–0 Tenerife

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CD Castellón (主队)

预测 64.60%1.55公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -4.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
60.89%64.61%64.59%65.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.441.431.5175.19%69.53%69.93%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tenerife (客队)

预测 13.28%7.53公平赔率
EV +1.71%
优势 +0.223%
Kelly +0.257%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 7.66

博彩公司预测分布
12.15%13.30%13.29%15.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.406.606.607.6618.52%15.15%15.15%13.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.12%4.52公平赔率
EV -4.01%
优势 -0.923%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.34

博彩公司预测分布
21.20%22.10%22.12%23.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.064.104.3427.03%24.61%24.39%23.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：CD Castellón (主队)：64.60%；Tenerife (客队)：13.28%；平局：22.12%。 对于“Tenerife (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.53。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.66，对应+1.71%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.66I 13.05%NM 12.59%EV +1.71%E +0.223%K +0.257%G +0.004%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV -4.01%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.03%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -8.91%E -6.32%K -21.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 16:28
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 16:28
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 16:04
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:54
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.00%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 16:15
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:04
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.43%EV -12.14%E -8.93%K -33.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 16:09
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.37%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 13.94%EV -9.44%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -7.32%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 16:24
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%EV -8.21%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:55
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%EV -8.21%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.02%EV -11.49%E -8.39%K -31.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.09%EV -10.20%E -7.34%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -15.02%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -10.42%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -17.01%E -2.72%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 63.81%EV -14.08%E -10.58%K -42.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.14%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.04%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-19 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:55
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:55
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:54
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.14%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -25.64%E -4.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -6.32%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -28.30%E -5.24%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -18.16%E -4.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-19 15:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-19 16:20
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.65%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-09-19 16:25
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.17%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.8%2026-09-19 16:30
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-09-19 16:20