La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

CD Castellón v Tenerife

Inicio: 2026-09-19 16:32 UTC

Final: CD Castellón 5–0 Tenerife

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

CD Castellón (Local)

Predicción 64.60%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -4.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.89%64.61%64.59%65.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.441.431.5175.19%69.53%69.93%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tenerife (Visitante)

Predicción 13.28%7.53momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.223%
Kelly +0.257%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.15%13.30%13.29%15.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.406.606.607.6618.52%15.15%15.15%13.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.12%4.52momio equitativo
EV -4.01%
Ventaja -0.923%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.20%22.10%22.12%23.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.064.104.3427.03%24.61%24.39%23.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CD Castellón (Local): 64.60%; Tenerife (Visitante): 13.28%; Empate: 22.12%. Para Tenerife (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.53. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.71%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.66I 13.05%NM 12.59%EV +1.71%E +0.223%K +0.257%G +0.004%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV -4.01%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.03%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -8.91%E -6.32%K -21.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 16:28
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -0.415%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 16:28
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -4.40%E -0.611%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 16:04
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:54
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.00%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 16:15
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:04
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.43%EV -12.14%E -8.93%K -33.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -7.05%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 16:09
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.37%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 13.94%EV -9.44%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -7.32%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 16:24
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%EV -8.21%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:55
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%EV -8.21%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -12.37%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.02%EV -11.49%E -8.39%K -31.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -13.69%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.09%EV -10.20%E -7.34%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -15.02%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -10.42%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -17.01%E -2.72%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -2.45%E -1.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -19.00%E -3.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 63.81%EV -14.08%E -10.58%K -42.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.14%EV -20.33%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.04%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-19 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:55
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:55
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:54
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -23.65%E -4.11%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.14%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -25.64%E -4.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -14.84%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -6.32%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -28.30%E -5.24%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -18.16%E -4.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-19 15:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-19 16:20
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.65%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-09-19 16:25
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.17%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.8%2026-09-19 16:30
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-09-19 16:20