The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

CD Castellón v Sporting Gijón

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 17:30 UTC

Final: CD Castellón 4–0 Sporting Gijón

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Castellón (Local)

Prediction 61.07%1.64fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -6.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.38%61.07%61.09%63.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.501.501.5872.46%66.83%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visit)

Prediction 16.72%5.98fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.735%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 6.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.51%16.73%16.62%18.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.515.506.2120.62%18.16%18.18%16.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.670%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.97%22.20%22.29%24.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.054.4026.67%24.44%24.69%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 61.07%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 16.72%; Draw: 22.21%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.98. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.51%EV +3.83%E +0.616%K +0.735%G +0.028%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.77%EV -6.05%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 17:11
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.11%EV -3.51%E -2.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.72%EV +0.986%E +0.163%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.17%EV -12.72%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 17:19
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +0.317%E +0.053%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +0.317%E +0.053%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +0.317%E +0.053%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +0.317%E +0.053%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +0.317%E +0.053%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -7.78%E -5.15%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.35%E -0.230%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -3.03%E -0.522%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.61%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -13.28%E -9.35%K -31.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -3.03%E -0.522%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 17:11
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -3.86%E -0.672%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -2.28%E -0.518%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 17:18
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -3.86%E -0.672%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 06:59
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.86%E -0.672%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 17:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -7.17%E -4.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.86%E -0.672%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 17:18
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -3.86%E -0.672%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -4.70%E -0.824%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 17:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 17:17
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 16:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -11.45%E -7.89%K -25.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -11.45%E -7.89%K -25.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -12.67%E -8.86%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -6.37%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:18
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -5.61%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 17:09
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 17:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.06%E -8.37%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 17:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.06%E -8.37%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 17:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.96%EV -15.72%E -11.39%K -41.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83%EV -9.71%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.21%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-25 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.16%EV -7.17%E -4.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -11.39%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -10.05%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 17:18
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.16%EV -7.17%E -4.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -11.39%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -10.05%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 17:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.93%EV -12.67%E -8.86%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.44%EV -11.39%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.63%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-25 17:18
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 17:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 17:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -7.17%E -4.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.06%E -2.51%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -9.61%E -6.50%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -14.73%E -2.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.37%EV -11.61%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.17%E -4.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 17:05
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 17:05
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.16%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.06%E -8.37%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 17:17
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -8.39%E -5.60%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.31%EV -18.07%E -3.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -8.94%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 17:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 60.34%EV -15.11%E -10.87%K -38.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.29%EV -18.91%E -3.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -16.71%E -4.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%19.2%2026-10-25 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-10-25 17:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-10-25 17:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-10-25 17:19
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-10-25 17:19
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%2.0%2026-10-25 17:19
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%3.1%2026-10-25 17:19

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.