The School of Odds
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CD Castellón v Sporting Gijón

2026-10-25 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Castellón (Local)

Prediction 63.13%1.58fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -3.10%
Kelly -9.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.51%63.04%63.30%64.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.451.451.5174.07%69.14%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visit)

Prediction 15.59%6.41fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.207%
Kelly +0.244%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.44%15.69%15.39%16.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.876.006.5020.00%17.03%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.28%4.70fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%21.28%21.31%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.264.204.5925.97%23.45%23.81%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CD Castellón (Local): 63.13%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 15.59%; Draw: 21.28%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.41. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.46%E -5.84%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +1.34%E +0.207%K +0.244%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -8.46%E -5.84%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -2.55%E -0.409%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.56%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -2.55%E -0.409%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 18:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.66%EV -4.67%E -3.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.40%EV -2.71%E -0.434%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.94%EV -2.33%E -0.507%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.50%EV -5.94%E -3.98%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.43%EV -4.42%E -0.722%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.07%EV -4.46%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 19:20
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -4.89%E -0.802%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -4.89%E -0.802%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -4.89%E -0.802%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -4.89%E -0.802%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -4.89%E -0.802%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.72%EV -7.83%E -5.36%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.38%EV -5.67%E -0.938%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 18:44
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.45%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 18:23
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.45%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.46%E -5.84%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.45%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 18:23
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.46%E -5.84%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.45%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -10.36%E -7.29%K -24.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.45%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 18:24
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.09%E -6.32%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.45%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -11.62%E -8.30%K -29.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -6.45%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 18:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -9.57%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:39
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -9.57%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -9.57%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -9.57%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -9.09%E -6.32%K -20.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -9.57%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -10.35%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -10.35%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.09%EV -10.36%E -7.29%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -10.35%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.25%E -2.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -9.56%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 18:44
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -6.57%E -4.44%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.25%E -2.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -9.56%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.09%E -6.32%K -20.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.25%E -2.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -14.14%E -10.40%K -39.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -14.25%E -2.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.81%EV -8.46%E -5.84%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -15.81%E -2.93%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.60%EV -11.69%E -2.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.51%EV -11.62%E -8.30%K -29.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.40%EV -18.15%E -3.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -17.01%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 61.70%EV -14.78%E -10.94%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.66%EV -22.04%E -4.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.64%EV -18.08%E -4.69%K -6.34%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-18 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 60.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%16.4%2026-10-18 18:45