Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CD Castellón v Sporting Gijón

2026-10-25 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CD Castellón (Local)

Previsão 63.21%1.58odd justa
EV -4.55%
Vantagem -3.02%
Kelly -8.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.58%63.12%63.35%64.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.441.441.5174.07%69.24%69.44%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sporting Gijón (Visitante)

Previsão 15.52%6.44odd justa
EV +0.867%
Vantagem +0.133%
Kelly +0.158%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.44%15.61%15.37%17.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.826.006.5020.83%17.17%16.67%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.27%4.70odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.514%
Kelly -0.657%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.70%21.28%21.28%22.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.254.204.5925.97%23.53%23.81%21.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: CD Castellón (Local): 63.21%; Sporting Gijón (Visitante): 15.52%; Empate: 21.27%. Para Sporting Gijón (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 6.44. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 6.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.867%.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.867%E +0.133%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.01%E -0.482%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.59%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -3.01%E -0.482%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 18:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.66%EV -4.55%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.40%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.94%EV -2.36%E -0.514%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.50%EV -5.82%E -3.90%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.43%EV -4.88%E -0.795%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.07%EV -4.49%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 19:20
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.34%E -0.876%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.34%E -0.876%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.34%E -0.876%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.34%E -0.876%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.34%E -0.876%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.72%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.38%EV -6.12%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 18:44
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 18:23
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 18:23
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -10.24%E -7.21%K -24.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 18:24
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -11.51%E -8.22%K -28.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.51%E -8.22%K -28.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.89%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 20:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -10.00%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:39
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -10.00%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -10.00%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -10.00%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -10.00%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -10.77%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -10.77%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.09%EV -10.24%E -7.21%K -24.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -10.77%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.65%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -9.59%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 18:44
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.65%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -9.59%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.65%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -14.04%E -10.32%K -38.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -14.65%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.81%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -16.20%E -3.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.60%EV -11.72%E -2.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.51%EV -11.51%E -8.22%K -28.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.40%EV -18.53%E -3.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -17.04%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -22.41%E -4.48%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 61.70%EV -14.67%E -10.86%K -41.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.66%EV -22.41%E -4.48%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.64%EV -18.10%E -4.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-18 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.58%EV -10.24%E -7.21%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -25.51%E -5.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-18 19:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 60.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%16.4%2026-10-18 18:45