Language:English
CD Castellón v SD Eibar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Castellón (Local)
Prediction 61.27%1.63fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -7.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.68%61.22%61.17%63.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.511.5671.43%66.28%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SD Eibar (Visit)
Prediction 17.81%5.62fair odd
EV -0.981%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.215%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.64%17.90%17.80%20.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.095.105.5622.73%19.64%19.61%17.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.92%4.78fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.271%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%20.88%21.02%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.274.204.8328.57%23.43%23.81%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 61.27%; SD Eibar (Visit): 17.81%; Draw: 20.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.03%EV -5.43%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.82%EV +1.04%E +0.215%K +0.271%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -0.635%E -0.134%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -9.32%E -6.30%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -2.94%E -0.539%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.68%E -0.358%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -7.39%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 16:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -21.64%E -4.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.08%EV -0.981%E -0.176%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 13:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.41%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -10.05%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -11.09%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.09%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.70%E -5.84%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 08:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -11.84%E -2.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-31 15:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -13.61%E -9.65%K -33.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-30 06:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -18.42%E -4.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -14.22%E -10.16%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -26.78%E -7.65%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.51% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 1.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |