L’École des cotes

CD Castellón v SD Eibar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Score final : CD Castellón 2–1 SD Eibar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Prévision 61.27%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -7.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.68%61.22%61.17%63.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.511.5671.43%66.28%66.23%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SD Eibar (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.81%5.62cote équitable
EV -0.981%
Avantage -0.176%
Kelly -0.215%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.64%17.90%17.80%20.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.095.105.5622.73%19.64%19.61%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.92%4.78cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.215%
Kelly +0.271%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.54%20.88%21.02%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.274.204.8328.57%23.43%23.81%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.03%EV -5.43%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.82%EV +1.04%E +0.215%K +0.271%G +0.003%4.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -0.635%E -0.134%K -0.169%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 13:40
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -9.32%E -6.30%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -2.94%E -0.539%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.68%E -0.358%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 16:20
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -7.39%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 16:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 16:18
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 10:19
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 13:40
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -21.64%E -4.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 13:40
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.08%EV -0.981%E -0.176%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 13:39
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 13:40
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 10:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 13:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.41%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -10.05%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 10:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -11.09%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 10:20
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.09%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:40
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:40
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:40
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 10:20
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 10:20
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.70%E -5.84%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 08:10
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -11.84%E -2.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-31 16:09
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-31 15:49
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -13.61%E -9.65%K -33.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-31 16:10
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 07:00
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 07:00
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 07:00
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 07:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 06:59
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 10:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 10:10
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -18.42%E -4.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-31 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -14.22%E -10.16%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -26.78%E -7.65%K -10.71%G +0.000%20.0%2026-05-31 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.51%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%1.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-05-31 16:10