La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CD Castellón v SD Eibar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 61.27%1.63momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -7.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.68%61.22%61.17%63.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.511.5671.43%66.28%66.23%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SD Eibar (Visitante)
Predicción 17.81%5.62momio equitativo
EV -0.981%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.215%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.64%17.90%17.80%20.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.095.105.5622.73%19.64%19.61%17.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.92%4.78momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.271%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.54%20.88%21.02%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.274.204.8328.57%23.43%23.81%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.03%EV -5.43%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.82%EV +1.04%E +0.215%K +0.271%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -0.635%E -0.134%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -9.32%E -6.30%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -2.94%E -0.539%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -1.68%E -0.358%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -7.39%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.77%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 16:18 |
| BetAnything | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 10:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -21.64%E -4.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.08%EV -0.981%E -0.176%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 13:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -8.28%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.41%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.87%E -4.52%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -10.05%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -11.09%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.09%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.70%E -5.84%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -19.86%E -4.41%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 08:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -11.84%E -2.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.77%E -8.17%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-31 15:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -13.61%E -9.65%K -33.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 07:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -2.05%E -0.373%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-30 06:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -9.17%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.52%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -18.42%E -4.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -14.22%E -10.16%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -26.78%E -7.65%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.51% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 1.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |