The School of Odds
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CD Castellón v Sabadell FC

2026-08-23 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Castellón (Local)

Prediction 62.41%1.60fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -8.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.99%62.24%62.40%63.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.461.5371.43%68.01%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sabadell FC (Visit)

Prediction 15.93%6.28fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.61%16.07%15.90%17.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.695.756.1220.00%17.58%17.39%16.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.86%21.68%21.70%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.184.204.4526.32%23.92%23.81%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CD Castellón (Local): 62.41%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 15.93%; Draw: 21.66%. For Sabadell FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.12, with an expected value of -2.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.65%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.66%EV -2.49%E -0.408%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.69%EV -4.25%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.36%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -7.59%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -3.60%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -4.41%E -0.734%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -17.15%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -17.15%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 17:24
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.41%E -0.734%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 17:29
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.37%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.39%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.35%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:04
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.37%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.35%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.02%E -4.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -5.20%E -0.874%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -7.02%E -4.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.39%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.47%EV -7.64%E -5.16%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -16.36%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.49%EV -13.78%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 17:28
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.01%EV -8.89%E -6.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.00%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 17:34
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.51%EV -8.89%E -6.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -2.81%E -0.461%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -12.27%E -3.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.51%EV -8.89%E -6.09%K -19.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -2.81%E -0.461%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -12.27%E -3.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 17:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.51%E -6.56%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.59%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.68%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -9.51%E -6.56%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -6.00%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 17:33
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -9.51%E -6.56%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -8.39%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -9.51%E -6.56%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -8.39%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:32
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.14%E -7.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.37%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.14%E -7.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.37%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -10.14%E -7.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -10.78%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 17:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -10.14%E -7.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.34%E -4.07%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -17.68%E -4.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-17 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -11.38%E -8.02%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -13.97%E -2.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-17 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -12.63%E -9.02%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -2.81%E -0.461%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-17 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.63%E -9.02%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.37%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-17 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.49%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.98%9.1%2026-08-17 19:10
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%16.3%2026-08-17 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 44.89%2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55%2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55%47.5%2026-08-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 44.89%2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55%2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55%47.5%2026-08-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 34.69%2.42I 41.32%NM 21.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 43.66%90.9%2026-08-17 19:05

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