Language:English
CD Castellón v Sabadell FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Castellón (Local)
Prediction 55.14%1.81fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -5.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.27%55.09%55.16%57.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.651.671.7466.67%60.44%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sabadell FC (Visit)
Prediction 19.10%5.24fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.230%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.90%19.22%19.02%20.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.804.805.3022.22%20.85%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.446%
Kelly +0.597%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.91%25.68%25.83%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.603.9530.30%27.65%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 55.14%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 19.10%; Draw: 25.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.58%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.60%E -0.509%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV +1.76%E +0.446%K +0.597%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.58%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.60%E -0.509%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV +1.76%E +0.446%K +0.597%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -11.23%E -6.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -11.23%E -6.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -11.23%E -6.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.99%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.03%EV -13.98%E -8.96%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.47%EV -0.307%E -0.059%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.13%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.37%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -13.98%E -8.96%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -13.98%E -8.96%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 16:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.06%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.95%EV -17.29%E -11.53%K -34.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.98%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.37%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.65%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -7.37%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.91%EV -10.35%E -2.97%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.90%EV +1.22%E +0.230%K +0.284%G +0.003% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -11.38%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.09%EV -12.88%E -8.15%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.70%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.90% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.81% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |