语言:简体中文
CD Castellón v Sabadell FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
CD Castellón (主队)
预测 55.14%1.81公平赔率
EV -4.06%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -5.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
53.27%55.09%55.16%57.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.651.671.7466.67%60.44%59.88%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sabadell FC (客队)
预测 19.10%5.24公平赔率
EV +1.22%
优势 +0.230%
Kelly +0.284%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 5.30
博彩公司预测分布
17.90%19.22%19.02%20.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.804.805.3022.22%20.85%20.83%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.76%3.88公平赔率
EV +1.76%
优势 +0.446%
Kelly +0.597%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 3.95
博彩公司预测分布
23.91%25.68%25.83%27.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.623.603.9530.30%27.65%27.78%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：CD Castellón (主队)：55.14%；Sabadell FC (客队)：19.10%；平局：25.76%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.95，对应+1.76%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.58%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.60%E -0.509%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV +1.76%E +0.446%K +0.597%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.58%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.60%E -0.509%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV +1.76%E +0.446%K +0.597%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -11.23%E -6.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -11.23%E -6.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -11.23%E -6.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -0.815%E -0.212%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.99%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -3.39%E -0.904%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 16:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.03%EV -13.98%E -8.96%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.47%EV -0.307%E -0.059%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.13%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.37%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -13.98%E -8.96%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -13.98%E -8.96%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -5.97%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 16:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.06%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.95%EV -17.29%E -11.53%K -34.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.98%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-23 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.37%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.65%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -7.37%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.91%EV -10.35%E -2.97%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.90%EV +1.22%E +0.230%K +0.284%G +0.003% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -11.38%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.33%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.28%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.09%EV -12.88%E -8.15%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.70%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.90% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.81% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |