Idioma:Español
CD Castellón v Sabadell FC
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 62.42%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -2.94%
Kelly -8.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.99%62.25%62.42%63.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.461.5371.43%68.01%68.49%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sabadell FC (Visitante)
Predicción 15.90%6.29momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.521%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.61%16.03%15.88%17.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.705.756.1220.00%17.55%17.39%16.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.99%21.72%21.70%22.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.184.204.4526.32%23.94%23.81%22.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: CD Castellón (Local): 62.42%; Sabadell FC (Visitante): 15.90%; Empate: 21.68%. Para Sabadell FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.29. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 6.12, con un valor esperado de -2.67%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.65%EV -4.50%E -2.94%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.66%EV -2.67%E -0.436%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.69%EV -4.19%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.36%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -7.76%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -3.54%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -4.58%E -0.763%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -17.30%E -3.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -17.30%E -3.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.58%E -0.763%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 17:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.55%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.00%E -4.69%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -5.37%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -7.00%E -4.69%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.55%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.47%EV -7.62%E -5.15%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -16.50%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.49%EV -13.73%E -3.45%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 17:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.01%EV -8.87%E -6.07%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.17%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.51%EV -8.87%E -6.07%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -2.99%E -0.489%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -12.21%E -3.01%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.51%EV -8.87%E -6.07%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -2.99%E -0.489%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -12.21%E -3.01%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.49%E -6.55%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.58%E -0.763%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -9.49%E -6.55%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -6.17%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 17:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -9.49%E -6.55%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -8.55%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -9.49%E -6.55%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -8.55%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 17:32 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.12%E -7.03%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.12%E -7.03%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -10.12%E -7.03%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -10.94%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -10.12%E -7.03%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.48%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -17.63%E -4.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -11.36%E -8.00%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -14.12%E -2.61%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -12.61%E -9.01%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -2.99%E -0.489%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.61%E -9.01%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-17 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.49% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 21.98% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93% | 16.3% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 44.89% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55% | 47.5% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 44.89% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 27.55% | 47.5% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 34.69% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 21.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 43.66% | 90.9% | 2026-08-17 19:05 |
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