Language:English
Cádiz CF v Sporting Gijón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cádiz CF (Local)
Prediction 44.67%2.24fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.90%44.67%44.69%45.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.072.062.1954.64%48.37%48.54%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sporting Gijón (Visit)
Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV +4.36%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.39%25.51%25.59%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.504.0732.26%28.40%28.57%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -0.874%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.82%29.73%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.063.053.3034.72%32.65%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 44.67%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 25.64%; Draw: 29.69%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.75%EV +4.36%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.08%EV -7.65%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV +2.56%E +0.640%K +0.854%G +0.022% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV +2.56%E +0.640%K +0.854%G +0.022% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -7.99%E -3.88%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +2.56%E +0.640%K +0.854%G +0.022% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 18:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.57%E -0.675%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.57%E -0.675%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.57%E -0.675%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.15%EV -7.99%E -3.88%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -6.16%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.43%EV -6.17%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.40%EV -2.18%E -0.996%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.44%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.27%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -3.08%E -1.42%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.49%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 16:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.52%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.01%E -0.609%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -7.35%E -2.36%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 18:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -8.88%E -4.35%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.00%EV -11.56%E -5.84%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.60%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.40%EV -10.03%E -3.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 18:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 08:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 13:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -12.01%E -6.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.99%EV -14.10%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.82%EV -13.29%E -4.55%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-11 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.93%EV -18.26%E -9.98%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -14.10%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.98%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-10-11 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.39%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -7.54%E -3.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -16.67%E -5.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -7.54%E -3.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -16.67%E -5.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.30%EV -7.99%E -3.88%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -16.67%E -5.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.42%EV -12.01%E -6.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -20.51%E -6.62%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.99%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-11 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-10-11 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.1% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |