The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cádiz CF v Sporting Gijón

2026-10-11 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 37.30%2.68fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.33%37.33%37.37%39.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.482.502.6547.62%40.27%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visit)

Prediction 33.51%2.98fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.06%33.62%33.42%35.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.37%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.320%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%29.05%29.22%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.133.113.4033.90%31.96%32.15%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cádiz CF (Local): 37.30%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 33.51%; Draw: 29.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -0.767%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 22:25
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.24%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.83%EV -4.83%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -3.10%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 22:25
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.12%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -4.16%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -5.73%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.767%E -0.226%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.17%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 23:34
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -14.55%E -5.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 22:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.19%E -4.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.19%E -4.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 22:45
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 22:45
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 00:19
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 00:18
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.03%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.25%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.11%EV -10.40%E -3.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-04 22:48
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.61%EV -13.46%E -5.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.30%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-05 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-04 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.55%E -5.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-04 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -16.22%E -6.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-04 23:06
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.69%EV -21.66%E -10.32%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -13.90%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-04 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.33%16.0%2026-10-04 22:50