Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cádiz CF v Sporting Gijón

2026-10-11 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Previsão 37.30%2.68odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.433%
Kelly -0.696%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.33%37.33%37.37%39.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.482.502.6547.62%40.27%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sporting Gijón (Visitante)

Previsão 33.51%2.98odd justa
EV -4.16%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.06%33.62%33.42%35.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.37%37.04%34.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.19%3.43odd justa
EV -0.767%
Vantagem -0.226%
Kelly -0.320%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.81%29.05%29.22%30.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.133.113.4033.90%31.96%32.15%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cádiz CF (Local): 37.30%; Sporting Gijón (Visitante): 33.51%; Empate: 29.19%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.43. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.40, com valor esperado de -0.767%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 22:25
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.24%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.83%EV -4.83%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -3.10%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 22:25
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.12%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -4.16%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -5.73%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.767%E -0.226%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.17%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 23:34
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -14.55%E -5.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 22:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.19%E -4.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.19%E -4.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 22:45
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 22:45
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 00:19
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 00:18
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.03%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.25%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.11%EV -10.40%E -3.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-04 22:48
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.61%EV -13.46%E -5.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.30%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-05 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-04 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.55%E -5.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-04 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -16.22%E -6.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-04 23:06
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.69%EV -21.66%E -10.32%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -13.90%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-04 22:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.33%16.0%2026-10-04 22:50