Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cádiz CF v Sporting Gijón

2026-10-11 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 37.30%2.68cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.433%
Kelly -0.696%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.33%37.33%37.37%39.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.482.502.6547.62%40.27%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.51%2.98cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.06%33.62%33.42%35.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.37%37.04%34.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.19%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.767%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.320%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.81%29.05%29.22%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.133.113.4033.90%31.96%32.15%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cádiz CF (Local) : 37.30% ; Sporting Gijón (Visiteur) : 33.51% ; Match nul : 29.19%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.43. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.40, pour une espérance de -0.767% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.15%E -0.433%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 22:25
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.24%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.83%EV -4.83%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -3.10%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 22:25
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.12%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -4.16%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -5.73%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -4.88%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.767%E -0.226%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.17%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 23:34
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -14.55%E -5.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 22:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.19%E -4.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.19%E -4.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 22:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 22:45
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 22:45
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 00:19
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.94%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 00:18
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.52%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -9.35%E -3.85%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.03%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.25%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.11%EV -10.40%E -3.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-04 22:48
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.61%EV -13.46%E -5.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.30%EV -12.20%E -4.66%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-05 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-04 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.55%E -5.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-04 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.20%E -6.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -16.22%E -6.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-04 23:06
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.69%EV -21.66%E -10.32%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -13.90%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-04 22:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.33%16.0%2026-10-04 22:50