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Cádiz CF v Real Valladolid CF

2026-08-30 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 39.12%2.56fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%39.02%39.15%40.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.79%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Valladolid CF (Visit)

Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.93%30.01%30.01%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.043.2335.71%33.03%32.89%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.95%30.97%30.84%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.953.003.1335.71%33.88%33.33%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cádiz CF (Local): 39.12%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 29.96%; Draw: 30.93%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.13, with an expected value of -3.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 18:39
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.56%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.06%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.64%EV -3.20%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:29
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.01%EV -4.56%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.60%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 19:40
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:49
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:19
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:19
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 00:13
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 00:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 19:04
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.18%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -9.23%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -11.99%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 21:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -11.99%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.12%E -5.76%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-23 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.18%EV -14.63%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-23 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%4.9%2026-08-23 20:45
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 38.52%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.75%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.72%15.9%2026-08-23 18:50