Language:English
Cádiz CF v Real Valladolid CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cádiz CF (Local)
Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV -0.716%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.407%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.58%36.00%36.03%39.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.502.502.7645.45%39.97%40.00%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visit)
Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.60%33.35%33.28%34.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.09%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -0.853%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%30.64%30.69%32.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2035.71%33.22%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 35.97%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 33.36%; Draw: 30.66%. For Cádiz CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -0.716%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -0.716%E -0.259%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.94%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.06%EV -6.91%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.26%EV -6.78%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.51%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.78%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.87%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.87%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -11.59%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -11.87%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.28%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -15.46%E -6.58%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -17.98%E -7.89%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -17.98%E -7.89%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -17.98%E -7.89%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -20.86%E -9.48%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.66%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.48%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.18% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |