Idioma:Español
Cádiz CF v Real Valladolid CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cádiz CF (Local)
Predicción 35.97%2.78momio equitativo
EV -0.716%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.407%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.58%36.00%36.03%39.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.502.502.7645.45%39.97%40.00%36.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)
Predicción 33.36%3.00momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.60%33.35%33.28%34.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.09%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -0.853%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.18%30.64%30.69%32.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2035.71%33.22%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cádiz CF (Local): 35.97%; Real Valladolid CF (Visitante): 33.36%; Empate: 30.66%. Para Cádiz CF (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.76, con un valor esperado de -0.716%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -0.716%E -0.259%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.94%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.44%E -0.524%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.06%EV -6.91%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.26%EV -6.78%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.51%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.78%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.87%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.87%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -11.59%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -11.87%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.28%EV -12.59%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -13.67%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.58%E -0.534%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -15.46%E -6.58%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -16.54%E -7.13%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -17.98%E -7.89%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -17.98%E -7.89%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -17.98%E -7.89%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -20.86%E -9.48%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.66%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.48%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.18% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |