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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cádiz CF v Real Valladolid CF

2026-08-30 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cádiz CF (主队)

预测 39.12%2.56公平赔率
EV -4.16%
优势 -1.70%
Kelly -2.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.36%39.02%39.15%40.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.79%42.55%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Real Valladolid CF (客队)

预测 29.96%3.34公平赔率
EV -3.24%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.23

博彩公司预测分布
28.93%30.01%30.01%30.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.033.043.2335.71%33.03%32.89%30.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.93%3.23公平赔率
EV -3.20%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.13

博彩公司预测分布
29.95%30.97%30.84%32.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.953.003.1335.71%33.88%33.33%31.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Cádiz CF (主队)：39.12%；Real Valladolid CF (客队)：29.96%；平局：30.93%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.23。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.13，期望值为-3.20%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 18:39
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.56%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.06%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.64%EV -3.20%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:29
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.01%EV -4.56%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.60%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 19:40
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:49
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:19
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:19
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 00:13
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 00:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 19:04
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.18%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -9.23%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -11.99%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 21:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -11.99%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.12%E -5.76%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-23 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.18%EV -14.63%E -5.13%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-23 21:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%4.9%2026-08-23 20:45
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 38.52%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.75%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.72%15.9%2026-08-23 18:50