Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.20
assuming max odds 3.61
assuming max odds 3.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 43.59%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 27.38%; Draw: 29.03%. For Real Sociedad B (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.61, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-23 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-23 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -1.17%E -0.323%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -0.998%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-23 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -8.01%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-23 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.21%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.03%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-23 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.21%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.03%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-23 18:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-23 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-23 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-23 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.33%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.19%EV -6.52%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 19:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-23 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-23 18:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.33%E -4.49%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 19:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.33%E -4.49%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-20 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-20 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-23 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.32%EV -10.48%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-23 19:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.45%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.92%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.28%EV -11.84%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.45%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-23 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.17%EV -13.78%E -4.64%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-23 19:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -15.43%E -7.96%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-20 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.74%E -8.77%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -17.87%E -5.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -18.71%E -6.68%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -17.18%E -9.04%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -18.71%E -6.68%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-23 18:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-02-23 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-02-23 19:25 |