A Escola das Odds

Cádiz CF v Real Sociedad B

Início: 2026-02-23 19:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cádiz CF (Local)

Previsão 43.59%2.29odd justa
EV -4.10%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.08%43.54%43.55%45.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.082.092.2052.63%48.02%47.85%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad B (Visitante)

Previsão 27.38%3.65odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.323%
Kelly -0.447%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.86%27.38%27.40%28.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.403.6133.33%29.57%29.41%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.03%3.44odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -0.730%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.17%29.08%29.05%29.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.153.153.3635.71%31.72%31.75%29.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 18:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 18:54
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:10
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -1.17%E -0.323%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -0.998%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 19:15
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -8.01%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 19:19
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.21%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.03%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 19:24
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.21%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.03%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 18:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 18:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 18:38
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 19:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 19:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 18:39
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.33%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.19%EV -6.52%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 19:23
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 18:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 18:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:38
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.33%E -4.49%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:24
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.33%E -4.49%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:25
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 00:00
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 00:00
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 23:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 18:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-23 18:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.32%EV -10.48%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-23 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.45%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 19:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 00:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 23:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 00:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 00:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 00:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.92%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.28%EV -11.84%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.45%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-23 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.17%EV -13.78%E -4.64%K -6.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-23 19:14
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -15.43%E -7.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-20 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.74%E -8.77%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -17.87%E -5.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -18.71%E -6.68%K -10.40%G +0.000%21.4%2026-02-23 18:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -17.18%E -9.04%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -18.71%E -6.68%K -10.40%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-23 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-02-23 19:25