La escuela de los momios

Cádiz CF v Real Sociedad B

Inicio: 2026-02-23 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cádiz CF (Local)

Predicción 43.59%2.29momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.08%43.54%43.55%45.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.082.092.2052.63%48.02%47.85%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Real Sociedad B (Visitante)

Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.323%
Kelly -0.447%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%27.38%27.40%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6133.33%29.57%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.03%3.44momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.17%29.08%29.05%29.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.153.3635.71%31.72%31.75%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 18:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 18:54
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:10
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -1.17%E -0.323%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -0.998%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 19:15
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -8.01%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 19:19
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.21%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.03%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 19:24
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.21%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.03%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 18:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 18:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 18:38
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 19:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 19:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 18:39
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.33%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.19%EV -6.52%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 19:23
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 18:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 18:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 18:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:38
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 18:40
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.33%E -4.49%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:24
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.33%E -4.49%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:25
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 00:00
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 00:00
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.72%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 23:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 18:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-23 18:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.32%EV -10.48%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-23 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.45%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 19:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-23 18:50
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 00:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 23:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 00:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -11.95%E -5.91%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 00:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 00:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.92%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.28%EV -11.84%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.45%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-23 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.32%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.17%EV -13.78%E -4.64%K -6.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-23 19:14
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -15.43%E -7.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-20 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.74%E -8.77%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -17.87%E -5.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -18.71%E -6.68%K -10.40%G +0.000%21.4%2026-02-23 18:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -17.18%E -9.04%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -13.76%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -18.71%E -6.68%K -10.40%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-23 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-23 19:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-02-23 19:25