Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF v Leganés

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Cádiz CF 3–0 Leganés

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 35.86%2.79fair odd
EV -0.298%
Edge -0.107%
Kelly -0.167%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%35.82%35.92%38.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.552.7843.48%39.63%39.22%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leganés (Visit)

Prediction 33.34%3.00fair odd
EV +0.020%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.29%33.32%33.46%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.782.803.0041.67%35.93%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.80%3.25fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.11%30.86%30.62%33.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.963.003.1537.04%33.82%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 35.86%; Leganés (Visit): 33.34%; Draw: 30.80%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.999. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.020%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -0.298%E -0.107%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV +0.020%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.83%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.83%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -3.17%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:19
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:39
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:40
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.63%EV -4.24%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -14.39%E -5.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.63%EV -4.24%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -14.39%E -5.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:39
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -14.64%E -6.15%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -4.60%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -4.65%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -11.31%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:19
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -15.72%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -15.72%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:39
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.74%EV -11.62%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 16:10
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -15.31%E -5.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 14:50
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.90%EV -4.96%E -1.87%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.46%EV -9.46%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -17.51%E -7.61%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.23%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 15:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:39
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -9.98%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 12:10
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.98%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.62%EV -11.42%E -4.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.95%EV -10.98%E -4.11%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -11.06%E -4.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 16:08
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -12.65%E -4.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:19
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -14.98%E -5.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -19.98%E -8.33%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -16.85%E -6.24%K -9.91%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-05-24 16:20