La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cádiz CF v Leganés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cádiz CF (Local)
Predicción 35.86%2.79momio equitativo
EV -0.298%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.167%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.62%35.82%35.92%38.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.552.7843.48%39.63%39.22%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leganés (Visitante)
Predicción 33.34%3.00momio equitativo
EV +0.020%
Ventaja +0.007%
Kelly +0.010%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.29%33.32%33.46%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.782.803.0041.67%35.93%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.80%3.25momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.950%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.11%30.86%30.62%33.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.963.003.1537.04%33.82%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -0.298%E -0.107%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV +0.020%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.83%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.83%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -3.17%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bovada | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.63%EV -4.24%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -14.39%E -5.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.63%EV -4.24%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -14.39%E -5.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -14.64%E -6.15%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -4.60%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -4.65%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -11.31%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -15.72%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -15.72%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.74%EV -11.62%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -15.31%E -5.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.90%EV -4.96%E -1.87%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.46%EV -9.46%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -17.51%E -7.61%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.23%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -9.98%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 12:10 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.98%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.62%EV -11.42%E -4.62%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.95%EV -10.98%E -4.11%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -11.06%E -4.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-24 16:08 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -12.65%E -4.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -14.98%E -5.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -19.98%E -8.33%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -16.85%E -6.24%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 1.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |