L’École des cotes

Cádiz CF v Leganés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Score final : Cádiz CF 3–0 Leganés

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 35.86%2.79cote équitable
EV -0.298%
Avantage -0.107%
Kelly -0.167%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.62%35.82%35.92%38.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.552.7843.48%39.63%39.22%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leganés (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.34%3.00cote équitable
EV +0.020%
Avantage +0.007%
Kelly +0.010%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.29%33.32%33.46%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.782.803.0041.67%35.93%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.80%3.25cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.950%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.11%30.86%30.62%33.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.963.003.1537.04%33.82%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -0.298%E -0.107%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV +0.020%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.83%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.83%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:40
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -3.17%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:19
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:10
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:39
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:40
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.63%EV -4.24%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -14.39%E -5.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything2.67I 37.45%NM 34.63%EV -4.24%E -1.59%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -14.39%E -5.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:39
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -14.64%E -6.15%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -3.98%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -4.60%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -4.65%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -11.31%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:19
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:50
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -15.72%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -15.72%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:39
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.74%EV -11.62%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 16:10
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -15.31%E -5.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 14:50
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.90%EV -4.96%E -1.87%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.46%EV -9.46%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:10
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -17.51%E -7.61%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.23%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 15:40
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:39
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:40
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.34%E -4.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -9.98%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 12:10
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.04%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.98%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 16:19
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.62%EV -11.42%E -4.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.95%EV -10.98%E -4.11%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -11.06%E -4.46%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -11.65%E -4.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 16:08
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.55%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -12.65%E -4.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:19
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 15:40
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -13.32%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -14.98%E -5.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.93%E -5.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -19.98%E -8.33%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -16.85%E -6.24%K -9.91%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-05-24 16:20