Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF v Andorra CF

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 16:30 UTC

Final: Cádiz CF 0–1 Andorra CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%28.81%28.88%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.103.153.6036.36%32.22%31.75%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andorra CF (Visit)

Prediction 42.84%2.33fair odd
EV -0.604%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.457%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%42.87%42.81%44.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.172.3250.00%46.07%46.19%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -0.895%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.26%28.32%28.31%29.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.253.5034.72%30.94%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 28.84%; Andorra CF (Visit): 42.84%; Draw: 28.32%. For Cádiz CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +3.83%E +1.06%K +1.47%G +0.056%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -7.03%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -4.29%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 16:01
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 15:30
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.895%E -0.256%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:00
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -7.46%E -3.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:31
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 15:47
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.32%E -3.89%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.26%EV -7.13%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.75%EV -10.89%E -5.23%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 15:59
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:59
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 15:40
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:01
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.29%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -5.32%E -2.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.12%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:01
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 16:01
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.17%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 16:01
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 16:00
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 15:40
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -13.46%E -6.66%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 16:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 16:01
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:49
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.31%E -7.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.45%E -6.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-12 14:57
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -17.80%E -6.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -17.80%E -6.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -20.69%E -7.52%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.36%EV -7.03%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-04-12 16:00
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-12 16:00